Edition of Saturday 31 October 2026

More thinking isn't (always) better

Comments on “More thinking isn't (always) better”

Claim-checked. Scored by all three judges, and its checkable claims were compared with the sources it cites. How far stories are checked

A benchmark of five coding agents at up to three effort levels, on 8 tasks from five codebases, found that high effort roughly doubled diff size (mean 126 to 281 lines on solved runs) but raised solve rates for only two models, Opus 5.5 and GPT-6.1 Sol. Sonnet 5.5 and Fable 5.1 solved fewer tasks at high than at low, and Opus did worse at max than at high on the hardest bug. The author's figures are self-reported, cover a small task set, and suggest setting defaults per model.

Read the original at ariwilson.com. The judges saw only its text, with the site, the author and link domains removed; they are shown again after ranking.

Why it ranked

No. 12 of 111 with a score of 0.67. The panel rated it highest on practical relevance (0.87) and new information (0.86), lowest on significance (0.53). Placed No. 12, No. 17 by score alone: the placement terms moved other stories past it.

AI judgeJudge 2claude-haiku-5-5
Self-run benchmark of coding-agent effort levels with concrete solve rates, costs and diff sizes; practical for builders, modest significance, small sample size limits strength of conclusions.
AI judgeJudge 3gpt-5.6-luna
A practical, original measurement of coding-agent effort levels across models and repositories, with task outcomes, cost, time, and diff-size data. Small sample size limits generality; the consulting invitation is minor promotion.

Each judge wrote its line after answering the rubric, with the site and the author still hidden. Every answer behind this is in the table under Score.

Score

0.67total under rubric v2.3

Judges’ mean answer per question, on a scale from 0 to 1. Questions marked minus count against the score.
  • Significance0.53
  • Reader interest0.78
  • Audience breadth0.69
  • Practical relevance0.87
  • Substantiated0.76
  • Technical depth0.67
  • New information0.86
  • Counts against: Promotional0.15
  • Counts against: Overclaim0.22

Each judge’s answer per question (0–1), their mean and spread, and what the question adds to the score (weight × mean).

QuestionJudge 1Judge 2Judge 3MeanSpreadWeightContribution (weight times mean)
SignificanceHow much does this change what people in tech know or can do?0.610.350.630.530.28+0.24+0.127
Reader interestWould a well-informed senior engineer or tech founder want to read this today, and likely pass it on?0.730.700.900.780.20+0.26+0.202
Audience breadthHow many people who build technology does it concern?0.740.600.720.690.14+0.13+0.089
Practical relevanceHow useful is it to someone who builds software or tech products?0.940.800.860.870.14+0.22+0.191
SubstantiatedHow well is it backed? Consider whether it is the primary source, and whether its main claims come with data, code, a demo, a reproducible method or citations.0.900.600.780.760.30+0.05+0.038
Technical depthHow technically substantive is it?0.740.600.660.670.14+0.05+0.033
New informationDoes it contain information absent from the stories covered in the last 7 days (list provided)?0.830.850.900.860.07+0.05+0.043
PromotionalIs it mainly marketing with little substance (a press release, ad or sponsored post with no real information)? A launch post that carries real news is not promotional.0.080.200.180.150.12−0.19−0.029
OverclaimDo the headline or conclusions claim more than the body supports?0.240.350.080.220.27−0.11−0.025
Sum of contributions+0.670
Claim-check penalty0.000
Total, as published0.670

Spread is the highest minus the lowest judge answer. marks a spread above 0.40: the judges disagree, and the story is marked contested.

The badge for this ranking, for the author's page or anyone's: one line of HTML, and it links back here.

Ranked #12 on Rubric, 31 Oct 2026
<a href="https://rubric.hrih.si/editions/2026-10-31/12/"><img src="https://rubric.hrih.si/badge/2026-10-31/12.svg" alt="Ranked #12 on Rubric, 31 Oct 2026" width="245" height="28"></a>

Claim check

Claim check: 2 matches source · 6 no source given. Each claim is compared with the source the article itself cites; a flag is published only when both checkers agree.

  1. No source givenNumber

    Turning coding agents up to high effort roughly doubled how much code they changed, and only 2 of 5 models solved more tasks with it.

    The article gives no link or citation for it.

    The article says

    “Turning coding agents up to high effort roughly doubled how much code they changed, and only 2 of 5 models solved more tasks with it”

    The source says

    No source to compare with.

  2. No source givenBenchmark result

    Opus 5.5 at high effort was the only setting to fix the hardest bug every time (3 of 3, versus 1 of 3 at medium and max, and 0 for every other model).

    The article gives no link or citation for it.

    The article says

    “Opus at high was the only setting to fix the hardest bug every time (3 of 3, against 1 of 3 at medium and max, and 0 for every other…”

    The source says

    No source to compare with.

  3. No source givenBenchmark result

    At each model's Claude Code default, Opus 5.5 (medium) beat Fable 5.1 (high) on solve rate, cost and time: 88%, $1.07 per run and 3m10s versus 75%, $3.56 and 6m28s.

    The article gives no link or citation for it.

    The article says

    “At each model’s Claude Code default, Opus 5.5 beat Fable 5.1 on solves, cost, and time”

    The source says

    No source to compare with.

  4. Matches sourceQuote

    Anthropic's write-up on effort found that effort doesn't rescue a model that picks the wrong approach.

    The cited source says the same thing.

    The article says

    “Anthropic’s own write-up on effort found that effort doesn’t rescue a model that picks the wrong approach”

    The source says

    “Overall, increasing effort tends to reduce failures due to missing edgecases (purple blocks), but does not fix when the model has the wrong approach (blue blocks”

    Source cited by the article: claude.dev/blog/spending-your-effort

  5. No source givenNumber

    High effort levels make agent diffs 2.2x longer; for runs with a working solution the mean diff goes from 126 lines at low to 281 at high.

    The article gives no link or citation for it.

    The article says

    “For runs with a working solution the mean diff goes from 126 lines at low to 281 at high”

    The source says

    No source to compare with.

  6. No source givenBenchmark result

    Opus 5.5 did worse at max effort than at high on the hardest bug, in three runs.

    The article gives no link or citation for it.

    The article says

    “The result was that Opus did worse at max than it did at high”

    The source says

    No source to compare with.

  7. Matches sourceCausal conclusion

    Claude Code's docs warn about overthinking at max effort; Opus rewrote far more code at max than at high (a median of 664 lines versus 140).

    The cited source says the same thing.

    The article says

    “Claude Code’s own docs warn about at max: it rewrote far more code than at high (a median of 664 lines against 140”

    The source says

    “max may show diminishing returns and is prone to overthinking, so test before adopting it broadly”

    Source cited by the article: code.claude.com/docs/en/model-config

  8. No source givenNumber

    Sonnet 5.5 at low effort gets an 88% success rate at $0.31 per run, under a quarter of the $1.39 Opus at high charges.

    The article gives no link or citation for it.

    The article says

    “Gets an 88% success rate at $0.31 per run, under a quarter of the $1.39 Opus at high charges for more solves”

    The source says

    No source to compare with.

Also covered by

No other coverage was clustered with this story.

Elsewhere

Elsewhere: HN 1 pts, not on front page

Discussion on Hacker News

Recorded for context only, checked 31 Oct 2026, 05:46 UTC. It played no part in the ranking.

Panel for this edition

Four AI agents ranked this edition: three judges scored every story blind to its site and author, and a fourth compared the top stories’ claims with the sources they cite. Summaries are written by AI.

Model versions are pinned for every edition. How ranking works describes rubric v2.3.

Comments

Readers’ comments on this story have a page of their own, ranked by a public rubric rather than by votes.

Comments on “More thinking isn't (always) better”

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