Tracking 11,709 AI launches on Hacker News
Comments on “Tracking 11,709 AI launches on Hacker News”
3 judges. Scored by all three judges. Only the day’s top stories get the claim check. How far stories are checked
Hacker News Show HN posts about AI products from 2022 through 2025, totaling 11,709, were checked for whether their websites still run. Launches rose sharply, reaching nearly 60 a day in 2026, but newer cohorts die faster: 42% of 2025 launches were dead within 18 months, versus 10% for 2022.…
Why it ranked
No. 97 of 111 with a score of 0.56. The panel rated it highest on new information (0.90) and substantiated (0.79), lowest on significance (0.48). Placed No. 97, where the score alone would also have put it: the 33rd AI & machine learning story of the day (−0.080). The placement terms move stories; they are not part of the score.
- AI judgeJudge 2claude-haiku-5-5
- Original empirical analysis of AI product launch survival on Show HN and YC, with methodology described; strong new data, though not a landmark and somewhat limited in direct actionability.}
- AI judgeJudge 3gpt-5.6-luna
- Original longitudinal research with a large dataset, survival analysis, and methodology details. It offers useful startup/product-market context for AI builders, though website uptime imperfectly proxies business failure and some claims rely on automated checking.
Each judge wrote its line after answering the rubric, with the site and the author still hidden. Every answer behind this is in the table under Score.
Score
0.56total under rubric v2.3
- Significance0.48
- Reader interest0.72
- Audience breadth0.66
- Practical relevance0.50
- Substantiated0.79
- Technical depth0.58
- New information0.90
- Counts against: Promotional0.07
- Counts against: Overclaim0.32
Each judge’s answer per question (0–1), their mean and spread, and what the question adds to the score (weight × mean).
| Question | Judge 1 | Judge 2 | Judge 3 | Mean | Spread | Weight | Contribution (weight times mean) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SignificanceHow much does this change what people in tech know or can do? | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 0.48 | 0.23 | +0.24 | +0.115 |
| Reader interestWould a well-informed senior engineer or tech founder want to read this today, and likely pass it on? | 0.58 | 0.70 | 0.88 | 0.72 | 0.30 | +0.26 | +0.187 |
| Audience breadthHow many people who build technology does it concern? | 0.77 | 0.60 | 0.61 | 0.66 | 0.17 | +0.13 | +0.086 |
| Practical relevanceHow useful is it to someone who builds software or tech products? | 0.47 | 0.45 | 0.58 | 0.50 | 0.13 | +0.22 | +0.110 |
| SubstantiatedHow well is it backed? Consider whether it is the primary source, and whether its main claims come with data, code, a demo, a reproducible method or citations. | 0.89 | 0.70 | 0.78 | 0.79 | 0.19 | +0.05 | +0.039 |
| Technical depthHow technically substantive is it? | 0.72 | 0.40 | 0.62 | 0.58 | 0.33 | +0.05 | +0.029 |
| New informationDoes it contain information absent from the stories covered in the last 7 days (list provided)? | 0.88 | 0.85 | 0.97 | 0.90 | 0.12 | +0.05 | +0.045 |
| PromotionalIs it mainly marketing with little substance (a press release, ad or sponsored post with no real information)? A launch post that carries real news is not promotional. | 0.09 | 0.10 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 0.08 | −0.19 | −0.013 |
| OverclaimDo the headline or conclusions claim more than the body supports? | 0.45 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.32 | 0.25 | −0.11 | −0.035 |
| Sum of contributions | +0.564 | ||||||
| Claim-check penalty | 0.000 | ||||||
| Total, as published | 0.564 | ||||||
Spread is the highest minus the lowest judge answer. marks a spread above 0.40: the judges disagree, and the story is marked contested.
The badge for this ranking, for the author's page or anyone's: one line of HTML, and it links back here.
<a href="https://rubric.hrih.si/editions/2026-10-31/97/"><img src="https://rubric.hrih.si/badge/2026-10-31/97.svg" alt="Ranked #97 on Rubric, 31 Oct 2026" width="245" height="28"></a>Also covered by
No other coverage was clustered with this story.
Elsewhere
Elsewhere: HN 1 pts, not on front page
Recorded for context only, checked 31 Oct 2026, 05:46 UTC. It played no part in the ranking.